Tool Information
FUTURESEARCH is an AI-powered tool designed specifically for geopolitical risk professionals. It enables users to produce complete risk analysis and forecasting on a range of geopolitical scenarios. Utilising a five-stage workflow, FUTURESEARCH first facilitates scenario search from its comprehensive question repository or allows users to input their own. The tool then analyzes past instances that are relevant to each scenario, building them into its statistical models. Post this, it conducts present-time research by reading and collating information from various sources such as news, industry analyses, and government reports. Using this data, FUTURESEARCH creates future simulations that offer probabilities and outcomes of geopolitical events. Finally, it allows simple and efficient production of a Risk Management report by choosing the desired research, models, and deductions from FUTURESEARCH. The AI's algorithms and models are developed to scale for large or multiple scenarios and conduct deep research, providing daily updates and forecasts from news sourced globally. FUTURESEARCH combines applied history with AI to competitively predict near-term geopolitical events.
F.A.Q (19)
FUTURESEARCH is an AI-powered tool developed specifically for geopolitical risk professionals. It empowers users to perform comprehensive risk analysis and forecasting on various geopolitical scenarios. FUTURESEARCH operates using a five-stage workflow. First, it provides a scenario search from its extensive question repository or enables users to provide their own. It then analyzes past instances that pertain to each scenario, incorporating them into its statistical models. FUTURESEARCH next conducts contemporary research, consuming information from various sources like news, industry analyses, and government reports. Employing this gathered data, it constructs future simulations that predict probabilities and outcomes of geopolitical events. Finally, it aids in efficient risk management report productions.
FUTURESEARCH differentiates itself by blending applied history with AI to predict near-term geopolitical events. Its algorithms and models are crafted to accommodate large or numerous scenarios and conduct exhaustive research. It also provides regular updates and forecasts based on globally sourced news. The implementation of AI and applied history enables FUTURESEARCH to outperform most veteran human forecasters.
FUTURESEARCH is specifically designed for geopolitical risk professionals who need to perform risk analyses and forecasting on geopolitical scenarios. It can be an extremely valuable tool for these professionals as it allows deep research, predictive modeling, realtime updates, and efficient report production.
The five-stage workflow of FUTURESEARCH includes searching scenarios either from FUTURESEARCH's question repository or using user-input scenarios. It then used past instances to analogize the past and build it into statistical models. From there, present-time research is conducted by collating information from various sources. Using such data, it simulates future outcomes and probabilities of geopolitical events. Finally, it allows the creation of a Risk Management report by selecting the desired research, models, and deductions.
FUTURESEARCH analyses and forecasts geopolitical scenarios in a multi-stage process. It first sources scenario-bound questions either from its repository or users. It then identifies historical analogues of each scenario, their outcomes, and integrates these findings into statistical models. FUTURESEARCH also compiles current events and information from news, industry analyses, government reports, and even foreign language sources for the most accurate portrayal of real-world scenarios. Data compiled is then used to conduct future simulations that provide deterministic and probabilistic outcomes and daily updates on forecasts.
FUTURESEARCH extracts data from various sources to provide insightful analysis and predictions. These sources include news, industry reports, government reports, and even foreign language resources. This wide range of sources ensures comprehensive real-time research and accurate forecasting.
Yes, with FUTURESEARCH, users can input their own scenarios. This feature enables the tool to cater to the specific and unique needs of each user, making it customizable and flexible.
Using the data it collates from various sources, FUTURESEARCH conducts future simulations. It generates deterministic dates, numbers, and probabilistic outcomes of geopolitical events. These simulations serve to predict and anticipate potential scenarios based on the analyzed data and trends.
The Risk Management report in FUTURESEARCH includes all the desired research, models, and deductions chosen by the user. It's essentially a summarised document of the potential risks, simulated scenarios, and expected outcomes of certain geopolitical conditions. This report enables users to make informed, data-driven decisions.
Yes, FUTURESEARCH is designed with the capability to handle large or multiple scenarios simultaneously. Its algorithms and models are developed to scale up, allowing it to manage and forecast for a range of scenarios at once without compromising on the level of detail or accuracy.
FUTURESEARCH provides daily updates and forecasts. This high-frequency update schedule ensures that the tool offers the latest data for geopolitical risk analysis, empowering users with up-to-date information to make informed decisions.
By combining AI with applied history, FUTURESEARCH leverages the learning from historical events to anticipate future outcomes. This unique blend gives it an edge over other tools, resulting in a more nuanced and accurate perspective when forecasting geopolitical events. This confluence significantly enhances the analytical capability, providing more comprehensive and accurate forecasts.
FUTURESEARCH has been shown to outperform most veteran human forecasters in predicting near-term geopolitical events. It harnesses the computational power of AI combined with the patterns derived from historical data to give remarkably accurate predictions.
FUTURESEARCH was founded by a team of experienced professionals in the field of AI and forecasting. The team includes Stanford University alumnus Dan Schwarz who serves as the Co-founder and CEO, Lawrence Phillips with a MSc from Imperial College London as the Co-founder & CTO, Peter Mühlbacher, a Founding Research Scientist, and Daniel Hnyk, the Founding Software Engineer. Peter Scoblic, a Harvard Business School graduate, also serves as an Advisor to the team.
A demo of FUTURESEARCH can be requested directly from their official website. It is as simple as clicking on the Request Demo button and filling up the form.
The geopolitical analysis AI forecaster feature of FUTURESEARCH signifies the tool's core functionality of utilizing AI to precisely forecast geopolitical circumstances. This characteristic facilitates users to not only analyze but also predict potential outcomes, hence enabling preemptive actions or plans.
FUTURESEARCH gathers news from an assortment of resources, including government reports and industry analysis. It utilizes AI algorithms to comprehend and analyze the news content, extract important details, and incorporate this real-time information into its comprehensive geopolitical scenario forecasts.
FUTURESEARCH employs statistical models built around past instances relevant to each scenario. The AI identifies historical parallels for each scenario, investigates their outcomes, and integrates these findings into the models. These models form an integral part of the tool's predictive capability as they are used to perform future simulations projecting outcomes of geopolitical events.
FUTURESEARCH provides a feature to scale the scenarios. This means users can consider dozens or even hundreds of scenarios for their business at once. The tool is designed to accommodate these large-scale analyses and provide deep, comprehensive research for every scenario.
Pros and Cons
Pros
- Geopolitical Risk Profiling
- Scenario-based Analysis
- Comprehensive Question Repository
- User Input for Scenarios
- Past Instance Analysis
- Statistical Modelling
- Real-time Research
- Multiple Source Data Collation
- Future Simulations
- Risk Management Report Generation
- Scaleable for Multiple Scenarios
- Daily Updates and Forecasting
- Applied History Integration
- Probabilities and Outcomes Prediction
- Simple Production Process
- Outperforms Human Forecasters
- Accuracy in Forecasting
- Recognises Novel Questions
- Identifies Best Historical Analogs
- Reads Multilingual Sources
- Unique Insight Lens
- Continuous Updated Forecasts
- Expansive Scalability
- Produces Dates and Probabilities
- Accurate Than Human Forecasters
Cons
- Needs human-designed questions
- May miss non-textual information
- No mention of real-time support
- Limited to geopolitical scope
- Dependent on source credibility
- No explicit data security features
- No user customization options
- Potential inaccuracy in simulations
- Not designed for individual users
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